پیوندهای مفید
آمار
| تعداد نشریات | 22 |
| تعداد شمارهها | 321 |
| تعداد مقالات | 3,364 |
| تعداد مشاهده مقاله | 3,686,409 |
| تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله | 2,652,442 |
Investigating the Trend of Temperature Changes in Isfahan Station, Iran Using the Sequential Mann-Kendall Method | ||
| Water Harvesting Research | ||
| دوره 5، شماره 2 - شماره پیاپی 8، شهریور 2022، صفحه 217-228 اصل مقاله (1.55 M) | ||
| نوع مقاله: Research Paper | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22077/jwhr.2023.6429.1086 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| Zabihollah Khani Temeliyeh* 1؛ Sakineh Khani Temeliyeh2؛ Hassan Khani Temeliyeh3؛ Rasoul Mirabbasi4 | ||
| 1Expert in Civil Engineering and Watershed Management of Natural Resources of Khuzestan Province | ||
| 2The Head of the Faculty Recruitment Center of Hazrat Masoumeh University | ||
| 3M.Sc. Student of Atmospheric Physics, University of Tehran | ||
| 4Associate Professor, Department of Water Engineering, Shahrekord University | ||
| چکیده | ||
| During recent decades, global climate change has been one of the most important research topics in the study of the earth, and its consequences have been reported in many types of research. The aim of this research is to investigate the trend of monthly, seasonal and annual temperature changes in Isfahan province, Iran using the non-parametric Mann-Kendall test. In this research, to investigate the trend of temperature changes in Isfahan, the mean monthly, seasonal, and annual temperature data during a 67 years period (1951-2017) has been used. Then, the occurrence time and direction of trend of all studied temperature series were specified using sequential Mann-Kendall test. The statistical analysis of the results showed that all three parameters are distributed symmetrically and follow the normal distribution. The results showed that the mean monthly temperature time series had non-significant trend at level of 5%. The average seasonal trend of temperature using the sequential Mann -Kendall test indicates non-significant trend in the winter and an increasing trend in other seasons, but this trend is nonsignificant at level of 5%. The results revealed an increasing trend in the annual temperature series, which was significant at level of 5%. | ||
| کلیدواژهها | ||
| Climate Changes؛ Non-Parametric test؛ Temperature؛ Time Series | ||
| مراجع | ||
|
Alemu, Z. A., & Dioha, M. O. (2020). Climate change and trend analysis of temperature: the case of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. Environmental Systems Research, 9(1), 1-15.
Alijani, B., Mahmoudi, P., Salighe, M., Salighe, M., & Rigi chahi, A. (2011). Study of annual maximum and minimum temperatures Changes in Iran. Geographical Research, 26(102), 101-122. (In Persian).
Ansari, M., Noori, G., Fotohi, S. (2017). Investigation of Temperature Precipitation and Flow Trend Using Nonparametric Mankendall (Case Study: Kaju River in Sistan and Baluchestan). JWMR, 7 (14):152-158. (In Persian).
Asakereh, H. (2011). Basics of Statistical Climatology, Zanjan University Press, p. 543. (In Persian).
Asakereh, H., & Kheradmandnia, M. (2002). SARIMA modeling for average monthly temperature (Case study of Jask average monthly temperature modeling), Nivar Journal No. 45-44, 41--54. (In Persian).
Binesh, N., Nik Sokhon, M. H., & Sarang, A. (2017). Trend Detection in Tehran Temperature and Precipitation during 1984-2014. Nivar Journal, 41(96-97), 36-45. (In Persian).
Chen, J., Wub, X., Finlayson, B., Webber, M., Wei, T., & Li, M. (2014). Variability and trend in the hydrology of the Yangtze River, China: Annual precipitation and runoff. Journal of Hydrology, 513: 403-412.
Clarke, T.S. (2003). Regional Climate Change: Trend Analysis of Temperature and Precipitation Series at Canadian Sites, Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics, 48: 194-210.
Darabi, H., Jafari, A., & Akhavan Farshchi, K. (2016). Climate Change Analysis and Its’ Impacts in Qom Province, Iran. Journal of Environmental Science Studies, 1(2), 25-40. (In Persian).
Faizi, V., & Norozi, R. (2010). Study of Climate Change in Sistan and Baluchestan Province by Man-Kendall Method, Proceedings of the Fourth International Congress of Geographers of the Islamic World, Zahedan. (In Persian).
Gadedjisso Tossou, A., Adjegan, K.I., & Kablan, A.K.M. (2021). Rainfall and Temperature Trend Analysis by Mann–Kendall Test and Significance for Rainfed Cereal Yields in Northern Togo. Sci, 3(1), 17.
Gemmer, M., Becker, S., & Jiang, T. (2004). Observed monthly precipitation trends in China 1951–2002. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 77, 39-45.
Ghahhari, Gh., Gandomkar, A., Najafpour, B., & Nejabat, Masoud. (2015). Investigating the trend of temperature changes in Shiraz synoptic station using Mann-Kendal method. Journal of Physical Geography, 8(27): 105-111. (In Persian)
Ghasemi, S. (2017). Analysis of changes using the method of Mann-Kendall (Case Study of Four townships of Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari Province). Quarterly Journal of Environmental-based Territorial Planning (JETP). 10(37): 149-166. (In Persian).
Haq, M. A. (2022). CDLSTM: A novel model for climate change forecasting. Comput. Mater. Contin, 71(2), 2363-2381.
Hedayati-Dezfuli, A., & Fazel-Rastgar, F. (2020). Evaluation of seasonal changes in temperature and precipitation for Iran five provincial centers during 1960-2017. Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection, 8(12), 77. (In Persian).
Hejam, S. (2008). Annual and Seasonal Precipitation Trend Analysis of Some Selective Meteorological Stations in Central Region of Iran Using Non-Parametric Methods. Physical Geography Research Quarterly, 40(64), 157-168. (In Persian).
Hırca, T., Eryılmaz Türkkan, G., & Niazkar, M. (2022). Applications of innovative polygonal trend analyses to precipitation series of Eastern Black Sea Basin, Turkey. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 147(1-2), 651-667.
Iyakaremye, V., Zeng, G., Ullah, I., Gahigi, A., Mumo, R., & Ayugi, B. (2022). Recent observed changes in extreme high‐temperature events and associated meteorological conditions over Africa. International Journal of Climatology, 42(9), 4522-4537.
Jain SK, Kumar V & Saharia M, (2013). Analysis of rainfall and temperature trends in northeast India. International Journal of Climatology, 33, 968-978.
Kendall, M. G. (1975). Rank correlation methods. Charles Griffin, London.
Kousari, M., Ekhtesasi, M., & Malekinezhad, H. (2017). Investigation of long term drought trend in semi-arid, arid and hyper-arid regions of the world. Desert Management, 4(8), 36-53. (In Persian).
Mann, H. B. (1945). Nonparametric tests against trend. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 245-259.
Mazidi, A., & Toofani, H. (2021). Investigation of temperature change trend of Urmia synoptic station by Mann-Kendall. Geography and Human Relationships, 4(2), 357-370. (In Persian).
Mohammadi, B. (2012), Analysis of rainfall trends in Kurdistan province, Proceedings of the 15th Iranian Geophysical Conference, pp. 215-212. (In Persian).
Omidvar, K., & Khosravi, Y. (2010). Investigation of Change of Some Climatic Elements in North Coast of Persian Gulf Using Kendall Test. Geography and Environmental Planning, 21(2), 33-46. (In Persian).
Sabziparvar, A., Shadmani, M. (2011). Trends Analysis of Reference Evapotranspiration Rates by Using the Mann-Kendall and Spearman Tests in Arid Regions of Iran. Water and Soil, 25(4). (In Persian).
Serrano, A. Mateos, V.L., & Garcia, J.A., (1999), Trend Analysis of Monthly Precipitation Over the Iberian Peninsula for the Period 1921-1995, Phys. Chem. Earth (B), 24: 85-90.
Snyder, T. D., & Hoffman, C. M. (2002). Digest of Education Statistics, 2001. ED Pubs, PO Box 1398, Jessup, MD 20794-1398.
Tomozeiu, R., Busuioc, A., Marletto, V., Zinoni, F., & Cacciamani, C. (2000). Detection of changes in the summer precipitation time series of the region Emilia-Romagna, Italy. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 67, 193-200.
Torkaman, M., Noroozi, A. A., & Homaei, M. (2019). Analysis of the trends of climate parameters using Mann Kendal test (TFPW-MK) in Khuzestan province. Journal of Environmental Science Studies, 4(1), 884-895. (In Persian).
Xu, L., Zhou, H., Du, L., Yao, H., & Wang, H. (2015). Precipitation trends and variability from 1950 to 2000 in arid lands of Central Asia. Journal of Arid Land, 7, 514-526.
Yang, X. L., Xu, L. R., Liu, K. K., Li, C. H., Hu, J., & Xia, X. H. (2012). Trends in temperature and precipitation in the Zhangweinan River Basin during the last 53 years. Procedia Environmental Sciences, 13, 1966-1974.
Zareabyaneh, H., Bayatvarkeshi, M., & yazdani, V. (2011). Trend analysis of annual and seasonal temperature, precipitation and drought in Hamedan province. Irrigation and Water Engineering, 1(3), 47-58. (In Persian).
Zohrabi, N., Massah Bavani, A., Goodarzi, E., & Heidarnejad, M. (2016). Identify Trend in the Annual Temperature and Precipitation in Karkheh River Basin. Journal of Wetland Ecobiology, 8 (2), 5-22. (In Persian). | ||
|
آمار تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 323 تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 264 |
||
نماد الکترونیک
سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی. قدرت گرفته از سیناوب