آمار

تعداد نشریات21
تعداد شماره‌ها368
تعداد مقالات3,827
تعداد مشاهده مقاله5,118,630
تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله3,441,288
Misaghi, Farhad, Panahi, Mehdi, Ahmadi Tazekandi, Farzaneh. (1400). Study of climate change impact on water resources allocation in Maragheh Plain using WEAP Model. , 4(2), 153-166. doi: 10.22077/jwhr.2022.4974.1048
Farhad Misaghi; Mehdi Panahi; Farzaneh Ahmadi Tazekandi. "Study of climate change impact on water resources allocation in Maragheh Plain using WEAP Model". , 4, 2, 1400, 153-166. doi: 10.22077/jwhr.2022.4974.1048
Misaghi, Farhad, Panahi, Mehdi, Ahmadi Tazekandi, Farzaneh. (1400). 'Study of climate change impact on water resources allocation in Maragheh Plain using WEAP Model', , 4(2), pp. 153-166. doi: 10.22077/jwhr.2022.4974.1048
Misaghi, Farhad, Panahi, Mehdi, Ahmadi Tazekandi, Farzaneh. Study of climate change impact on water resources allocation in Maragheh Plain using WEAP Model. , 1400; 4(2): 153-166. doi: 10.22077/jwhr.2022.4974.1048

Study of climate change impact on water resources allocation in Maragheh Plain using WEAP Model

Water Harvesting Research
دوره 4، شماره 2 - شماره پیاپی 6، اسفند 2021، صفحه 153-166    اصل مقاله (2.14 M)
نوع مقاله: Research Paper
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22077/jwhr.2022.4974.1048
نویسندگان
Farhad Misaghi* 1؛ Mehdi Panahi2؛ Farzaneh Ahmadi Tazekandi3
1Assistant Professor, University of Zanjan, Department of Water Engineering, Zanjan, Iran.
2Assistant Professor, Zanjan University, Department of Water Engineering, Zanjan, Iran.
3cGraduate student of Irrigation and Drainage, University of Zanjan, Department of Water Engineering, Zanjan, Iran.
چکیده
The appropriate water resources planning and management is very important due to the critical status of water all around the world and the ever-increasing need for water in each country. Over the past few decades, due to the climate changes and the weakness of integrated water resources management and neglecting the country's sustainable development, the water resources in Iran has been faced great challenges. The main purpose of this study is to examine the impact of climate changes on supply to demands in various sectors of agriculture, urban, and industry in four regions downstream of the ALAVIAN dam, Maragheh, Iran. For this purpose, the LARS-WG model was calibrated to create the future data for the Maragheh synoptic station. Then, among the 14 GCM models in the LARS-WG model, the IPSLCM 4 model under the A1B scenario was selected as the most suitable model for the climate simulation of the study area by using R2, MAE and RMSE indices. In the next step, WEAP model was run for producing a reference scenario and providing information on climate changes in the future. The maximum and minimum annual temperatures during the years 2020-2040 is accompanied by an increase of about 1 ᵒC. In other words, the region climate is moving towards increasing in the temperature. The changes in monthly precipitation did not show a general increasing or decreasing trend. The results of this study also showed that the negative effects of climate change may intensify the tensions and water scarcity with an increase in exploitation of groundwater resources. The results showed as the water resources in the study area is assigned to the urban, industrial and agricultural sectors, the needs for the urban and industrial sectors at the future are completely met and water resource indices did not change under the effect of climate change. While the agricultural sector may encounter to water scarcity and may be damaged by climate changes, as compared with urban and industrial sectors.
کلیدواژه‌ها
Climate Change؛ Integrated Water Resources Management
مراجع

Ahmadzadeh, H., Mansouri, B., Fathian, F., Vaheddoost, B., 2022, Assessment of water demand reliability using SWAT and RIBASIM models with respect to climate change and operational water projects. Agricultural Water Management, 261:107377.

Akhtar, M. K., Wibe, J., Simonovic, S.  P., MacGee, J., 2013, Integrated assessment model of society-biosphere-climate-economy-energy system. Environmental modeling Software, 49: 1-21. 

Alexander, L. V., Arblaster, J. M., 2017, Historical and projected trends in temperature and precipitation extremes in Australia in observations and CMIP5. Weather and Climate Extremes, 15:34-56.

Amini Rakan, A., 2012, Modeling runoff using artificial intelligence in Iranian climatic samples. Master's Thesis. University of Zabol.

Ardestani, E. G., Ghahfarrokhi, Z. H., 2021, Ensembpecies distribution modeling of Salvia hydrangea under future climate change scenarios in Central Zagros Mountains, Iran. Global Ecology and Conservation, 26, e01488.

Bharati, L., Bhattarai, U., Khadka, A., Gurung, P., Neumann, L. E., Penton, D. J., Nepal, S., 2019, From the mountains to the plains: impact of climate change on water resources in the Koshi River Basin (Vol. 187). International Water Management Institute (IWMI).

Booij, M.J., Tollenaar, D., Beek, E., Kwadjik, J.C.J., 2011, Simulating impacts of climate change on river discharges in the Nile basin. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, 36:696-907.

Chen, Y., Zhang, D., Sun, Y., Liu, X., Wang, N. and Savenije, HHG., 2010, Water demand management: A case study of the Heihe River Basin in China. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, 30(6):408-419.

Chen, Z. and Wei, S., 2014, Application of system dynamics to water security research. Water resources management, 28:287-300. 

Danandeh Mehr, A., Sorman, A. U., Kahya, E., Hesami Afshar, M., 2020, Climate change impacts on meteorological drought using SPI and SPEI: case study of Ankara, Turkey. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 65(2):254-268.

Dinpashoh, Y., 2006, Study of Reference Crop Evapotranspiration in I.R. of Iran. Agricultural water management, 84:123–129.

Grey, D., Garrick, D., 2012, Water security as a defining of 21st century challenge.  Water Security, Risk and Society Conference. 

Hagan, I., 2007, Modelling the impact of small reservoirs in the upper east region of Ghana, Master Thesis, Lund University, Sweden.

Hagemann, S., Chen, C., Clark, D. B., Flowell, S., Gosling, S.N., Haddeland, I., Hanasaki, N., Ludwing, F., Voss, F., and Wiltshire, A. J., 2013, Climate change impact on available water resources obtained using multiple global climate and hydrology models. Earth System Dynamics, 4:129-144.

165

Ishida, K., Gorguner, M., Ercan, A., Trinh, T., Kavvas, M. L., 2017, Trend analysis of watershed-scale precipitation over Northern California by means of dynamically-downscaled CMIP5 future climate projections. Science of the Total Environment, 592:12-24.

Kamal, A. R., Masah Bavani, AR., 2010, Climate change and variability impact in basin’s runoff with interference of tow hydrology models uncertainty. Journal of Water and Soil,  24:920-931.

Kumar, S., Roshni, T., Kahya, E., Ghorbani, M. A., 2020, Climate change projections of rainfall and its impact on the cropland suitability for rice and wheat crops in the Sone river command, Bihar. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 142(1): 433-451.

Leemhuis, C., Jung, G., Kasei, R. and Liebe, J., 2009, The Volta Basin water allocation system: assessing the impact of small - scale reservoir development on the water resources of the Volta basin, West Africa. Advances in Geosciences, 21:57-62.

Li, X., Zhao, Y., Shi, C., Sha, J., Wang, Z. L., Wang, Y., 2015, Application of Water Evaluation and Planning (WEAP) model for water resources management strategy estimation in coastal Binhai New Area, China. Ocean Coastal Management, 106:97-109.

Lobell, D., Burke, M., Tebaldi, C., Mastrandera, M., Falcon, W., and Naylor, R., 2008, Prioritizing climate change adaptation needs for food security in 2030.  Science, 319(5863):607-610. 

Loucks D.P., van Beek, E., 2005, Water Resources Systems Planning and Management. United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization UNESCO, Paris, France.

Mathukumalli, S. R., Dammu, M., Sengottaiyan, V., Ongolu, S., Biradar, A. K., Kondru, V. R., Cherukumalli, S. R., 2016, Prediction of Helicoverpa armigera Hubner on pigeonpea during future climate change periods using MarkSim multimodel data. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 228:130-138.

Peng, S., Ding, Y., Wen, Z., Chen, Y., Cao, Y., Ren, J., 2017, Spatiotemporal change and trend analysis of potential evapotranspiration over the Loess Plateau of China during 2011–

166
  1. Agricultural and forest meteorology, 233: 183-194.

Shrestha, U. B., Shrestha, B. B., 2019, Climate change amplifies plant invasion hotspots in Nepal. Diversity and Distributions, 25(10): 1599-1612.

Shourian, M and Mousavi, S., 2005, Planning the water resources allocation at the basin level with the aim of inter-basin water transmission. 2nd Conference on Water Resources Management, Isfahan University of Technology, 1-8.

Tavakoli, M., Karimi, H., Norollahi, H., 2018, Investigation the effects of climate change on water resources of Ilam Dam Watershed. Watershed Engineering and Management, 10(2):157-170.

Todd, M. C., Taylor, R. G., Osborn, T. J., Kingston, D. G., Arnell, N. W., Gosling, S. N., 2011, Uncertainty in climate change impacts on basin-scale freshwater resources–preface to the special issue: the QUEST-GSI methodology and synthesis of results. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15(3):1035-1046.

UN-Water., 2006, Coping with water scarcity: a strategic issue and priority for system-wide action. 

UN-Water., 2014, Annual report: Water and energy Facts and Figures. 

Velazquez, D. P., Luis G., Joaquin A., Francisco-Javier M., Ana I., 2011, A methodology to diagnose the effect of climate change and to identify adaptive strategies to reduce its impacts in conjunctive-use systems at basin scale, J. of Hydrology, 405(1-2):110-122.

Vörösmarty, C. J., McIntyre, P. B., Dudgeon, D., Prusevich, A., Green, P., Glidden, S., Bunn, S. E., Sullivan, C. A., Reidy Liermann, C., and Davies, P.  M., 2010, Global threats to human water security and river biodiversity. Journal of Science, 467(7315):555-561. 

Zeinadini, S., Anvari, S., Zahmatkesh, Z., 2019, Investigation of water allocation conditions in Aharchay Basin under climate change impacts. Irrigation Sciences and Engineering, 42(4):195-210.

آمار
تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 673
تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 593


نماد الکترونیک 

 

سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی. قدرت گرفته از سیناوب